1
37%
Home Win
2.69
X
28%
Draw
3.64
2
35%
Away Win
2.83
xG Home
1.23
xG Away
1.19
Over 2.5 Goals
44%
BTTS
49%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Casa Pia AC an expected 1.2 goals and Rio Ave FC an expected 1.2 goals. Casa Pia AC have a 37% win probability, draw stands at 28%, and Rio Ave FC at 35%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 56%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
13%
1:0
10.9%
0:1
10.6%
0:0
8.9%
2:1
8%
1:2
7.7%
2:0
6.7%
0:2
6.3%
2:2
4.8%
3:1
3.3%
1:3
3.1%
3:0
2.8%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Casa Pia AC Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 37% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.7 |
| Market Odds | 2.88 |
Team Comparison
| Casa Pia AC | Rio Ave FC | |
|---|---|---|
| 16 | League Position | 12 |
| 30 | Points | 36 |
| 18% | Win % | 24% |
| 0.91 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.03 |
| 1.68 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.68 |
Venue Form
Casa Pia AC at Home
W1
D1
L2
(4 games)
Rio Ave FC Away
W0
D0
L2
(2 games)
Recent Form
Casa Pia AC
W
L
L
D
Rio Ave FC
L
L
