1
11%
Home Win
9.15
X
16%
Draw
6.2
2
73%
Away Win
1.37
xG Home
0.86
xG Away
2.49
Over 2.5 Goals
65%
BTTS
53%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Cagliari an expected 0.9 goals and Inter an expected 2.5 goals. Cagliari have a 11% win probability, draw stands at 16%, and Inter at 73%. The most likely exact scoreline is 0–2. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 65%.
Correct Score Predictions
0:2
10.8%
1:2
9.4%
0:3
9%
0:1
8.7%
1:3
7.8%
1:1
7.5%
0:4
5.6%
1:4
4.8%
2:2
4%
0:0
3.5%
2:3
3.4%
2:1
3.2%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Inter Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 73% |
| Predicted Odds | 1.37 |
| Market Odds | 1.46 |
Team Comparison
| Cagliari | Inter | |
|---|---|---|
| 14 | League Position | 1 |
| 43 | Points | 87 |
| 29% | Win % | 71% |
| 1.05 | Avg Goals Scored | 2.34 |
| 1.39 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.92 |
Venue Form
Cagliari at Home
W1
D0
L1
(2 games)
Inter Away
W1
D1
L0
(2 games)
Recent Form
Cagliari
L
W
Inter
W
D
