Burnley vs Wolves Prediction

Burnley Burnley
1 – 1
Most Likely Score
Sun, 24 May 2026 · Premier League
Wolves Wolves
1 44%
Home Win 2.27
X 25%
Draw 3.92
2 30%
Away Win 3.29
xG Home 1.50
xG Away 1.20
Over 2.5 Goals 51%
BTTS 54%

Our Prediction

Our Poisson distribution model gives Burnley an expected 1.5 goals and Wolves an expected 1.2 goals. Burnley have a 44% win probability, draw stands at 25%, and Wolves at 30%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 51%.

Correct Score Predictions

1:1 12.1%
1:0 10.1%
2:1 9.1%
0:1 8.1%
2:0 7.6%
1:2 7.3%
0:0 6.7%
2:2 5.4%
0:2 4.8%
3:1 4.5%
3:0 3.8%
1:3 2.9%

Detailed Analysis

Best Pick Wolves Win
Probability 45%
Predicted Odds 2.22
Market Odds 2.36

Team Comparison

Burnley Wolves
0 League Position 0
0 Points 0

Venue Form

Burnley at Home
W0 D1 L1 (2 games)
0% win rate
Wolves Away
W0 D0 L2 (2 games)
0% win rate

Recent Form

Burnley
D L
Wolves
L L

Head to Head

26 Oct 2025 Premier League
Wolves 2 : 3 Burnley
W
28 Aug 2024 League Cup
Wolves 2 : 0 Burnley
L
02 Apr 2024 Premier League
Burnley 1 : 1 Wolves
D