1
70%
Home Win
1.44
X
20%
Draw
4.95
2
10%
Away Win
9.73
xG Home
1.92
xG Away
0.58
Over 2.5 Goals
46%
BTTS
38%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Brighton an expected 1.9 goals and Wolves an expected 0.6 goals. Brighton have a 70% win probability, draw stands at 20%, and Wolves at 10%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–0. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 54%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:0
15.7%
2:0
15.1%
3:0
9.7%
1:1
9.1%
2:1
8.8%
0:0
8.2%
3:1
5.6%
0:1
4.7%
4:0
4.7%
4:1
2.7%
1:2
2.6%
2:2
2.5%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Brighton Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 70% |
| Predicted Odds | 1.43 |
| Market Odds | 1.52 |
Team Comparison
| Brighton | Wolves | |
|---|---|---|
| 8 | League Position | 20 |
| 53 | Points | 20 |
| 37% | Win % | 8% |
| 1.37 | Avg Goals Scored | 0.71 |
| 1.21 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.79 |
Venue Form
Brighton at Home
W3
D1
L0
(4 games)
Wolves Away
W0
D0
L2
(2 games)
Recent Form
Brighton
D
W
W
W
Wolves
L
L
Head to Head
Brighton
2 : 0
Wolves
W
Wolves
1 : 1
Brighton
D
Wolves
0 : 2
Brighton
W
