1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ
xG Home
1.44
xG Away
0.88
Over 2.5 Goals
41%
BTTS
45%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Brighton an expected 1.4 goals and Crystal Palace an expected 0.9 goals. Brighton have a 50% win probability, draw stands at 27%, and Crystal Palace at 23%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–0. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 59%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:0
14.1%
1:1
12.4%
2:0
10.2%
0:0
9.8%
2:1
9%
0:1
8.6%
1:2
5.5%
3:0
4.9%
3:1
4.3%
2:2
3.9%
0:2
3.8%
3:2
1.9%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Brighton Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 50% |
| Predicted Odds | 2 |
| Market Odds | 2.13 |
Team Comparison
| Brighton | Crystal Palace | |
|---|---|---|
| 8 | League Position | 15 |
| 53 | Points | 45 |
| 37% | Win % | 29% |
| 1.37 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.08 |
| 1.21 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.34 |
Venue Form
Brighton at Home
W4
D1
L0
(5 games)
Crystal Palace Away
W1
D1
L3
(5 games)
Recent Form
Brighton
W
D
W
W
W
Crystal Palace
D
W
L
L
L
