1
50%
Home Win
2
X
24%
Draw
4.18
2
26%
Away Win
3.84
xG Home
1.71
xG Away
1.16
Over 2.5 Goals
55%
BTTS
56%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Brentford an expected 1.7 goals and Tottenham an expected 1.2 goals. Brentford have a 50% win probability, draw stands at 24%, and Tottenham at 26%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 55%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
11.3%
1:0
9.7%
2:1
9.6%
2:0
8.2%
0:1
6.6%
1:2
6.6%
0:0
5.7%
2:2
5.6%
3:1
5.5%
3:0
4.7%
0:2
3.8%
3:2
3.2%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Brentford Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 50% |
| Predicted Odds | 2 |
| Market Odds | 2.13 |
Team Comparison
| Brentford | Tottenham | |
|---|---|---|
| 9 | League Position | 17 |
| 53 | Points | 41 |
| 37% | Win % | 26% |
| 1.45 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.26 |
| 1.37 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.5 |
Venue Form
Brentford at Home
W2
D1
L0
(3 games)
Tottenham Away
W2
D0
L0
(2 games)
Recent Form
Brentford
W
D
W
Tottenham
W
W