1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ
xG Home
1.59
xG Away
1.53
Over 2.5 Goals
60%
BTTS
62%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Brentford an expected 1.6 goals and Liverpool an expected 1.5 goals. Brentford have a 39% win probability, draw stands at 24%, and Liverpool at 37%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 60%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
10.8%
2:1
8.5%
1:2
8.2%
1:0
7%
0:1
6.8%
2:2
6.5%
2:0
5.6%
0:2
5.2%
3:1
4.5%
0:0
4.4%
1:3
4.2%
3:2
3.4%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Brentford Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 39% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.56 |
| Market Odds | 2.73 |
Team Comparison
| Brentford | Liverpool | |
|---|---|---|
| 9 | League Position | 5 |
| 53 | Points | 60 |
| 37% | Win % | 45% |
| 1.45 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.66 |
| 1.37 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.39 |
Venue Form
Brentford at Home
W3
D2
L0
(5 games)
Liverpool Away
W2
D0
L2
(4 games)
Recent Form
Brentford
W
D
W
D
W
Liverpool
W
L
L
W
