1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ
xG Home
1.51
xG Away
1.06
Over 2.5 Goals
47%
BTTS
51%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Bournemouth an expected 1.5 goals and Sunderland an expected 1.1 goals. Bournemouth have a 48% win probability, draw stands at 26%, and Sunderland at 26%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 53%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
12.2%
1:0
11.6%
2:1
9.3%
2:0
8.8%
0:1
8.1%
0:0
7.6%
1:2
6.5%
2:2
4.9%
3:1
4.7%
3:0
4.4%
0:2
4.3%
3:2
2.5%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Bournemouth Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 48% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.08 |
| Market Odds | 2.22 |
Team Comparison
| Bournemouth | Sunderland | |
|---|---|---|
| 6 | League Position | 7 |
| 57 | Points | 54 |
| 34% | Win % | 37% |
| 1.53 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.11 |
| 1.42 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.26 |
Venue Form
Bournemouth at Home
W1
D2
L1
(4 games)
Sunderland Away
W0
D2
L2
(4 games)
Recent Form
Bournemouth
L
D
W
D
Sunderland
L
D
D
L
