1
40%
Home Win
2.49
X
23%
Draw
4.32
2
37%
Away Win
2.73
xG Home
1.67
xG Away
1.59
Over 2.5 Goals
63%
BTTS
65%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Bournemouth an expected 1.7 goals and Liverpool an expected 1.6 goals. Bournemouth have a 40% win probability, draw stands at 23%, and Liverpool at 37%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 63%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
10.2%
2:1
8.5%
1:2
8.1%
2:2
6.8%
1:0
6.4%
0:1
6.1%
2:0
5.4%
0:2
4.8%
3:1
4.8%
1:3
4.3%
0:0
3.8%
3:2
3.8%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Bournemouth Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 40% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.5 |
| Market Odds | 2.66 |
Team Comparison
| Bournemouth | Liverpool | |
|---|---|---|
| 6 | League Position | 5 |
| 57 | Points | 60 |
| 34% | Win % | 45% |
| 1.53 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.66 |
| 1.42 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.39 |
Venue Form
Bournemouth at Home
W1
D2
L0
(3 games)
Liverpool Away
W1
D0
L2
(3 games)
Recent Form
Bournemouth
D
W
D
Liverpool
L
L
W
