1
46%
Home Win
2.15
X
25%
Draw
4.01
2
29%
Away Win
3.5
xG Home
1.58
xG Away
1.18
Over 2.5 Goals
52%
BTTS
55%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Bournemouth an expected 1.6 goals and Everton an expected 1.2 goals. Bournemouth have a 46% win probability, draw stands at 25%, and Everton at 29%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 52%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
11.8%
1:0
10%
2:1
9.3%
2:0
7.9%
0:1
7.5%
1:2
7%
0:0
6.3%
2:2
5.5%
3:1
4.9%
0:2
4.4%
3:0
4.1%
3:2
2.9%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Bournemouth Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 46% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.17 |
| Market Odds | 2.31 |
Team Comparison
| Bournemouth | Everton | |
|---|---|---|
| 6 | League Position | 13 |
| 57 | Points | 49 |
| 34% | Win % | 34% |
| 1.53 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.24 |
| 1.42 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.32 |
Venue Form
Bournemouth at Home
W1
D1
L0
(2 games)
Everton Away
W0
D1
L2
(3 games)
Recent Form
Bournemouth
W
D
Everton
D
L
L
