Bologna vs Torino Prediction

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1 – 1
Most Likely Score
Sat, 19 Sep 2026 · Serie A
1 57%
Home Win 1.76
X 22%
Draw 4.5
2 21%
Away Win 4.76
xG Home 1.90
xG Away 1.07
Over 2.5 Goals 57%
BTTS 56%

Our Prediction

Our Poisson distribution model gives Bologna an expected 1.9 goals and Torino an expected 1.1 goals. Bologna have a 57% win probability, draw stands at 22%, and Torino at 21%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 57%.

Correct Score Predictions

1:1 10.4%
2:1 9.9%
1:0 9.7%
2:0 9.3%
3:1 6.3%
3:0 5.9%
1:2 5.6%
0:1 5.5%
2:2 5.3%
0:0 5.1%
3:2 3.4%
4:1 3%

Detailed Analysis

Best Pick Bologna Win
Probability 57%
Predicted Odds 1.75
Market Odds 1.87

Team Comparison

Bologna Torino
8 League Position 12
56 Points 45
42% Win % 32%
1.29 Avg Goals Scored 1.16
1.21 Avg Goals Conceded 1.66

Venue Form

Bologna at Home
W0 D3 L1 (4 games)
0% win rate
Torino Away
W2 D1 L1 (4 games)
50% win rate

Recent Form

Bologna
D D L D
Torino
W L D W