1
57%
Home Win
1.76
X
22%
Draw
4.5
2
21%
Away Win
4.76
xG Home
1.90
xG Away
1.07
Over 2.5 Goals
57%
BTTS
56%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Bologna an expected 1.9 goals and Torino an expected 1.1 goals. Bologna have a 57% win probability, draw stands at 22%, and Torino at 21%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 57%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
10.4%
2:1
9.9%
1:0
9.7%
2:0
9.3%
3:1
6.3%
3:0
5.9%
1:2
5.6%
0:1
5.5%
2:2
5.3%
0:0
5.1%
3:2
3.4%
4:1
3%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Bologna Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 57% |
| Predicted Odds | 1.75 |
| Market Odds | 1.87 |
Team Comparison
| Bologna | Torino | |
|---|---|---|
| 8 | League Position | 12 |
| 56 | Points | 45 |
| 42% | Win % | 32% |
| 1.29 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.16 |
| 1.21 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.66 |
Venue Form
Bologna at Home
W0
D3
L1
(4 games)
Torino Away
W2
D1
L1
(4 games)
Recent Form
Bologna
D
D
L
D
Torino
W
L
D
W