1
41%
Home Win
2.45
X
29%
Draw
3.46
2
30%
Away Win
3.31
xG Home
1.21
xG Away
1.00
Over 2.5 Goals
38%
BTTS
44%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Bologna an expected 1.2 goals and Lazio an expected 1.0 goals. Bologna have a 41% win probability, draw stands at 29%, and Lazio at 30%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–0. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 62%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:0
13.3%
1:1
13.3%
0:0
11%
0:1
11%
2:0
8%
2:1
8%
1:2
6.6%
0:2
5.5%
2:2
4%
3:0
3.2%
3:1
3.2%
1:3
2.2%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Bologna Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 41% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.44 |
| Market Odds | 2.59 |
Team Comparison
| Bologna | Lazio | |
|---|---|---|
| 8 | League Position | 9 |
| 56 | Points | 54 |
| 42% | Win % | 37% |
| 1.29 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.08 |
| 1.21 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.05 |
Venue Form
Bologna at Home
W0
D2
L1
(3 games)
Lazio Away
W2
D0
L0
(2 games)
Recent Form
Bologna
D
L
D
Lazio
W
W
