1
67%
Home Win
1.49
X
20%
Draw
4.89
2
12%
Away Win
8.02
xG Home
1.96
xG Away
0.70
Over 2.5 Goals
50%
BTTS
43%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Benfica an expected 2.0 goals and GIL Vicente an expected 0.7 goals. Benfica have a 67% win probability, draw stands at 20%, and GIL Vicente at 12%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–0. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 50%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:0
13.7%
2:0
13.4%
1:1
9.6%
2:1
9.4%
3:0
8.8%
0:0
7%
3:1
6.1%
0:1
4.9%
4:0
4.3%
1:2
3.4%
2:2
3.3%
4:1
3%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Benfica Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 67% |
| Predicted Odds | 1.49 |
| Market Odds | 1.59 |
Team Comparison
| Benfica | GIL Vicente | |
|---|---|---|
| 3 | League Position | 6 |
| 80 | Points | 50 |
| 68% | Win % | 38% |
| 2.18 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.38 |
| 0.74 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.12 |
Venue Form
Benfica at Home
W1
D1
L0
(2 games)
GIL Vicente Away
W0
D1
L0
(1 games)
Recent Form
Benfica
D
W
GIL Vicente
D
