1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ
xG Home
0.80
xG Away
1.82
Over 2.5 Goals
49%
BTTS
46%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Bahia an expected 0.8 goals and Flamengo an expected 1.8 goals. Bahia have a 16% win probability, draw stands at 22%, and Flamengo at 62%. The most likely exact scoreline is 0–1. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 51%.
Correct Score Predictions
0:1
13.2%
0:2
12.1%
1:1
10.6%
1:2
9.6%
0:3
7.3%
0:0
7.3%
1:3
5.9%
1:0
5.8%
2:1
4.2%
2:2
3.9%
0:4
3.3%
1:4
2.7%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Flamengo Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 62% |
| Predicted Odds | 1.61 |
| Market Odds | 1.72 |
Team Comparison
| Bahia | Flamengo | |
|---|---|---|
| 7 | League Position | 1 |
| 60 | Points | 79 |
| 45% | Win % | 61% |
| 1.32 | Avg Goals Scored | 2.05 |
| 1.21 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.71 |
Venue Form
Bahia at Home
W2
D1
L1
(4 games)
Flamengo Away
W2
D1
L0
(3 games)
Recent Form
Bahia
W
W
L
D
Flamengo
D
W
W
