1
3%
Home Win
32.79
X
11%
Draw
9.3
2
86%
Away Win
1.16
xG Home
0.34
xG Away
2.64
Over 2.5 Goals
57%
BTTS
27%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives AVS an expected 0.3 goals and FC Porto an expected 2.6 goals. AVS have a 3% win probability, draw stands at 11%, and FC Porto at 86%. The most likely exact scoreline is 0–2. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 57%.
Correct Score Predictions
0:2
17.7%
0:3
15.6%
0:1
13.4%
0:4
10.3%
1:2
6%
1:3
5.3%
0:0
5.1%
1:1
4.5%
1:4
3.5%
1:0
1.7%
2:2
1%
2:3
0.9%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | FC Porto Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 86% |
| Predicted Odds | 1.16 |
| Market Odds | 1.24 |
Team Comparison
| AVS | FC Porto | |
|---|---|---|
| 18 | League Position | 1 |
| 21 | Points | 88 |
| 9% | Win % | 82% |
| 0.79 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.94 |
| 1.97 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.53 |
Venue Form
AVS at Home
W1
D1
L0
(2 games)
FC Porto Away
W1
D0
L2
(3 games)
Recent Form
AVS
W
D
FC Porto
L
W
L
