Avispa Fukuoka vs Mito Hollyhock Prediction

1 – 0
Most Likely Score
Sat, 05 Sep 2026 · J1 League
Open Match Centre
Score · Lineups · Live stats

1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ

xG Home 1.29
xG Away 0.96
Over 2.5 Goals 39%
BTTS 45%

Our Prediction

Our Poisson distribution model gives Avispa Fukuoka an expected 1.3 goals and Mito Hollyhock an expected 1.0 goals. Avispa Fukuoka have a 44% win probability, draw stands at 28%, and Mito Hollyhock at 28%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–0. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 61%.

Correct Score Predictions

1:0 13.6%
1:1 13%
0:0 10.5%
0:1 10.1%
2:0 8.8%
2:1 8.4%
1:2 6.3%
0:2 4.8%
2:2 4%
3:0 3.8%
3:1 3.6%
1:3 2%

Detailed Analysis

Best Pick Avispa Fukuoka Win
Probability 44%
Predicted Odds 2.27
Market Odds 2.42

Venue Form

Avispa Fukuoka at Home
W0 D4 L1 (5 games)
0% win rate
Mito Hollyhock Away
W0 D1 L5 (6 games)
0% win rate

Recent Form

Avispa Fukuoka
L D D D D
Mito Hollyhock
L L D L L