1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ
xG Home
1.46
xG Away
1.45
Over 2.5 Goals
56%
BTTS
59%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Austin an expected 1.5 goals and San Jose Earthquakes an expected 1.5 goals. Austin have a 38% win probability, draw stands at 25%, and San Jose Earthquakes at 37%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 56%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
11.5%
2:1
8.4%
1:2
8.4%
1:0
7.9%
0:1
7.9%
2:2
6.1%
2:0
5.8%
0:2
5.7%
0:0
5.4%
3:1
4.1%
1:3
4%
3:2
3%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Austin Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 38% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.63 |
| Market Odds | 2.8 |
Team Comparison
| Austin | San Jose Earthquakes | |
|---|---|---|
| 6 | League Position | 10 |
| 47 | Points | 41 |
| 38% | Win % | 32% |
| 1.09 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.76 |
| 1.32 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.85 |
Venue Form
Austin at Home
W2
D3
L1
(6 games)
San Jose Earthquakes Away
W3
D2
L3
(8 games)
Recent Form
Austin
D
D
D
W
W
San Jose Earthquakes
L
W
D
L
D
