Atletico San Luis vs Querétaro Prediction

1 – 1
Most Likely Score
Wed, 21 Oct 2026 · Liga MX
Open Match Centre
Score · Lineups · Live stats

1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ

xG Home 1.38
xG Away 1.07
Over 2.5 Goals 44%
BTTS 49%

Our Prediction

Our Poisson distribution model gives Atletico San Luis an expected 1.4 goals and Querétaro an expected 1.1 goals. Atletico San Luis have a 44% win probability, draw stands at 27%, and Querétaro at 29%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 56%.

Correct Score Predictions

1:1 12.8%
1:0 11.9%
0:1 9.3%
2:1 8.8%
0:0 8.6%
2:0 8.2%
1:2 6.8%
0:2 5%
2:2 4.7%
3:1 4%
3:0 3.7%
1:3 2.5%

Detailed Analysis

Best Pick Atletico San Luis Win
Probability 44%
Predicted Odds 2.27
Market Odds 2.42

Team Comparison

Atletico San Luis Querétaro
14 League Position 11
18 Points 20
29% Win % 24%
1.41 Avg Goals Scored 1
1.59 Avg Goals Conceded 1.24

Venue Form

Atletico San Luis at Home
W2 D0 L2 (4 games)
50% win rate
Querétaro Away
W4 D1 L0 (5 games)
80% win rate

Recent Form

Atletico San Luis
W L W L
Querétaro
W W W W D