Atletico San Luis vs Guadalajara Chivas Prediction

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Most Likely Score
Sat, 05 Sep 2026 · Liga MX
1 20%
Home Win 5.1
X 21%
Draw 4.83
2 60%
Away Win 1.68
xG Home 1.11
xG Away 2.08
Over 2.5 Goals 62%
BTTS 59%

Our Prediction

Our Poisson distribution model gives Atletico San Luis an expected 1.1 goals and Guadalajara Chivas an expected 2.1 goals. Atletico San Luis have a 20% win probability, draw stands at 21%, and Guadalajara Chivas at 60%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–2. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 62%.

Correct Score Predictions

1:2 9.9%
1:1 9.5%
0:2 8.9%
0:1 8.5%
1:3 6.9%
0:3 6.2%
2:2 5.5%
2:1 5.3%
1:0 4.5%
0:0 4.1%
2:3 3.8%
1:4 3.6%

Detailed Analysis

Best Pick Guadalajara Chivas Win
Probability 60%
Predicted Odds 1.67
Market Odds 1.77

Team Comparison

Atletico San Luis Guadalajara Chivas
14 League Position 2
18 Points 36
29% Win % 65%
1.41 Avg Goals Scored 1.94
1.59 Avg Goals Conceded 1

Venue Form

Atletico San Luis at Home
W1 D0 L2 (3 games)
33% win rate
Guadalajara Chivas Away
W0 D2 L1 (3 games)
0% win rate

Recent Form

Atletico San Luis
L W L
Guadalajara Chivas
D L D