1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ
xG Home
0.79
xG Away
1.31
Over 2.5 Goals
35%
BTTS
40%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Atlas an expected 0.8 goals and Cruz Azul an expected 1.3 goals. Atlas have a 22% win probability, draw stands at 29%, and Cruz Azul at 49%. The most likely exact scoreline is 0–1. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 65%.
Correct Score Predictions
0:1
16.1%
1:1
12.7%
0:0
12.3%
0:2
10.5%
1:0
9.7%
1:2
8.3%
2:1
5%
0:3
4.6%
2:0
3.8%
1:3
3.6%
2:2
3.3%
0:4
1.5%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Cruz Azul Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 49% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.04 |
| Market Odds | 2.17 |
Team Comparison
| Atlas | Cruz Azul | |
|---|---|---|
| 6 | League Position | 3 |
| 26 | Points | 33 |
| 41% | Win % | 53% |
| 0.94 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.82 |
| 1.06 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.06 |
Venue Form
Atlas at Home
W0
D2
L1
(3 games)
Cruz Azul Away
W2
D1
L1
(4 games)
Recent Form
Atlas
D
L
D
Cruz Azul
L
W
W
D
