Atlas vs Club América Prediction

0 – 0
Most Likely Score
Thu, 22 Oct 2026 · Liga MX
Open Match Centre
Score · Lineups · Live stats

1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ

xG Home 0.74
xG Away 0.84
Over 2.5 Goals 21%
BTTS 30%

Our Prediction

Our Poisson distribution model gives Atlas an expected 0.7 goals and Club América an expected 0.8 goals. Atlas have a 29% win probability, draw stands at 35%, and Club América at 35%. The most likely exact scoreline is 0–0. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 79%.

Correct Score Predictions

0:0 20.5%
0:1 17.3%
1:0 15.2%
1:1 12.8%
0:2 7.3%
2:0 5.6%
1:2 5.4%
2:1 4.8%
0:3 2%
2:2 2%
1:3 1.5%
3:0 1.4%

Detailed Analysis

Best Pick Club América Win
Probability 35%
Predicted Odds 2.86
Market Odds 3.04

Team Comparison

Atlas Club América
6 League Position 8
26 Points 25
41% Win % 41%
0.94 Avg Goals Scored 1.18
1.06 Avg Goals Conceded 1

Venue Form

Atlas at Home
W0 D2 L1 (3 games)
0% win rate
Club América Away
W3 D2 L1 (6 games)
50% win rate

Recent Form

Atlas
D L D
Club América
W L D W D