1
54%
Home Win
1.86
X
25%
Draw
3.95
2
21%
Away Win
4.78
xG Home
1.57
xG Away
0.88
Over 2.5 Goals
44%
BTTS
46%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Atalanta an expected 1.6 goals and Sassuolo an expected 0.9 goals. Atalanta have a 54% win probability, draw stands at 25%, and Sassuolo at 21%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–0. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 56%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:0
13.6%
1:1
11.9%
2:0
10.7%
2:1
9.4%
0:0
8.7%
0:1
7.6%
3:0
5.6%
1:2
5.2%
3:1
4.9%
2:2
4.1%
0:2
3.3%
4:0
2.2%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Atalanta Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 54% |
| Predicted Odds | 1.85 |
| Market Odds | 1.97 |
Team Comparison
| Atalanta | Sassuolo | |
|---|---|---|
| 7 | League Position | 11 |
| 59 | Points | 49 |
| 39% | Win % | 37% |
| 1.34 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.21 |
| 0.95 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.32 |
Venue Form
Atalanta at Home
W0
D1
L0
(1 games)
Sassuolo Away
W0
D1
L1
(2 games)
Recent Form
Atalanta
D
Sassuolo
L
D
