1
49%
Home Win
2.04
X
27%
Draw
3.75
2
24%
Away Win
4.12
xG Home
1.45
xG Away
0.93
Over 2.5 Goals
42%
BTTS
46%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Atalanta an expected 1.4 goals and Bologna an expected 0.9 goals. Atalanta have a 49% win probability, draw stands at 27%, and Bologna at 24%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–0. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 58%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:0
13.4%
1:1
12.5%
2:0
9.7%
0:0
9.3%
2:1
9%
0:1
8.6%
1:2
5.8%
3:0
4.7%
3:1
4.4%
2:2
4.2%
0:2
4%
3:2
2%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Atalanta Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 49% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.04 |
| Market Odds | 2.17 |
Team Comparison
| Atalanta | Bologna | |
|---|---|---|
| 7 | League Position | 8 |
| 59 | Points | 56 |
| 39% | Win % | 42% |
| 1.34 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.29 |
| 0.95 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.21 |
Venue Form
Atalanta at Home
W0
D1
L0
(1 games)
Bologna Away
W1
D0
L1
(2 games)
Recent Form
Atalanta
D
Bologna
W
L
