1
56%
Home Win
1.78
X
27%
Draw
3.74
2
17%
Away Win
5.81
xG Home
1.45
xG Away
0.67
Over 2.5 Goals
36%
BTTS
38%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives AS Roma an expected 1.5 goals and Lazio an expected 0.7 goals. AS Roma have a 56% win probability, draw stands at 27%, and Lazio at 17%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–0. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 64%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:0
17.3%
2:0
12.6%
0:0
11.9%
1:1
11.7%
2:1
8.5%
0:1
8%
3:0
6.1%
3:1
4.1%
1:2
3.9%
2:2
2.8%
0:2
2.7%
4:0
2.2%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | AS Roma Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 50% |
| Predicted Odds | 2 |
| Market Odds | 2.13 |
Team Comparison
| AS Roma | Lazio | |
|---|---|---|
| 3 | League Position | 9 |
| 73 | Points | 54 |
| 61% | Win % | 37% |
| 1.55 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.08 |
| 0.82 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.05 |
Venue Form
AS Roma at Home
W2
D1
L0
(3 games)
Lazio Away
W3
D0
L0
(3 games)
Recent Form
AS Roma
W
W
D
Lazio
W
W
W
Head to Head
Lazio
0 : 1
AS Roma
W
Lazio
1 : 1
AS Roma
D
AS Roma
2 : 0
Lazio
L
