AS Roma vs Lazio Prediction

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1 – 1
Most Likely Score
Sun, 17 May 2026 · Serie A
1 44%
Home Win 2.27
X 25%
Draw 3.92
2 30%
Away Win 3.29
xG Home 1.50
xG Away 1.20
Over 2.5 Goals 51%
BTTS 54%

Our Prediction

Our Poisson distribution model gives AS Roma an expected 1.5 goals and Lazio an expected 1.2 goals. AS Roma have a 44% win probability, draw stands at 25%, and Lazio at 30%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 51%.

Correct Score Predictions

1:1 12.1%
1:0 10.1%
2:1 9.1%
0:1 8.1%
2:0 7.6%
1:2 7.3%
0:0 6.7%
2:2 5.4%
0:2 4.8%
3:1 4.5%
3:0 3.8%
1:3 2.9%

Detailed Analysis

Best Pick AS Roma Win
Probability 50%
Predicted Odds 2
Market Odds 2.13

Team Comparison

AS Roma Lazio
0 League Position 0
0 Points 0

Venue Form

AS Roma at Home
W1 D1 L0 (2 games)
50% win rate
Lazio Away
W2 D0 L0 (2 games)
100% win rate

Recent Form

AS Roma
W D
Lazio
W W

Head to Head

21 Sep 2025 Serie A
Lazio 0 : 1 AS Roma
W
13 Apr 2025 Serie A
Lazio 1 : 1 AS Roma
D
05 Jan 2025 Serie A
AS Roma 2 : 0 Lazio
L