1
33%
Home Win
3.03
X
26%
Draw
3.92
2
41%
Away Win
2.41
xG Home
1.27
xG Away
1.46
Over 2.5 Goals
51%
BTTS
55%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives AS Roma an expected 1.3 goals and Inter an expected 1.5 goals. AS Roma have a 33% win probability, draw stands at 26%, and Inter at 41%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 51%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
12.1%
0:1
9.5%
1:2
8.8%
1:0
8.3%
2:1
7.7%
0:2
6.9%
0:0
6.5%
2:2
5.6%
2:0
5.3%
1:3
4.3%
0:3
3.4%
3:1
3.3%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Inter Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 41% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.44 |
| Market Odds | 2.59 |
Team Comparison
| AS Roma | Inter | |
|---|---|---|
| 3 | League Position | 1 |
| 73 | Points | 87 |
| 61% | Win % | 71% |
| 1.55 | Avg Goals Scored | 2.34 |
| 0.82 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.92 |
Venue Form
AS Roma at Home
W2
D1
L0
(3 games)
Inter Away
W1
D1
L0
(2 games)
Recent Form
AS Roma
W
W
D
Inter
W
D
