1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ
xG Home
1.86
xG Away
0.67
Over 2.5 Goals
46%
BTTS
41%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives AS Roma an expected 1.9 goals and Genoa an expected 0.7 goals. AS Roma have a 66% win probability, draw stands at 22%, and Genoa at 13%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–0. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 54%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:0
14.8%
2:0
13.7%
1:1
10%
2:1
9.2%
3:0
8.5%
0:0
8%
3:1
5.7%
0:1
5.4%
4:0
3.9%
1:2
3.3%
2:2
3.1%
4:1
2.6%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | AS Roma Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 66% |
| Predicted Odds | 1.52 |
| Market Odds | 1.61 |
Team Comparison
| AS Roma | Genoa | |
|---|---|---|
| 3 | League Position | 16 |
| 73 | Points | 41 |
| 61% | Win % | 26% |
| 1.55 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.08 |
| 0.82 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.34 |
Venue Form
AS Roma at Home
W2
D1
L0
(3 games)
Genoa Away
W1
D2
L1
(4 games)
Recent Form
AS Roma
W
W
D
Genoa
L
D
D
W
