1
65%
Home Win
1.54
X
22%
Draw
4.55
2
13%
Away Win
7.6
xG Home
1.82
xG Away
0.67
Over 2.5 Goals
45%
BTTS
41%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives AS Roma an expected 1.8 goals and Fiorentina an expected 0.7 goals. AS Roma have a 65% win probability, draw stands at 22%, and Fiorentina at 13%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–0. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 55%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:0
15.1%
2:0
13.7%
1:1
10.1%
2:1
9.2%
3:0
8.3%
0:0
8.3%
3:1
5.6%
0:1
5.6%
4:0
3.8%
1:2
3.4%
2:2
3.1%
4:1
2.5%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | AS Roma Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 65% |
| Predicted Odds | 1.54 |
| Market Odds | 1.64 |
Team Comparison
| AS Roma | Fiorentina | |
|---|---|---|
| 3 | League Position | 15 |
| 73 | Points | 42 |
| 61% | Win % | 24% |
| 1.55 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.08 |
| 0.82 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.32 |
Venue Form
AS Roma at Home
W1
D1
L0
(2 games)
Fiorentina Away
W0
D1
L1
(2 games)
Recent Form
AS Roma
W
D
Fiorentina
L
D
Head to Head
AS Roma
3 : 0
Fiorentina
W
Fiorentina
1 : 2
AS Roma
W
AS Roma
1 : 0
Fiorentina
W
