1
46%
Home Win
2.17
X
26%
Draw
3.86
2
28%
Away Win
3.56
xG Home
1.49
xG Away
1.10
Over 2.5 Goals
48%
BTTS
52%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Arsenal an expected 1.5 goals and Coventry an expected 1.1 goals. Arsenal have a 46% win probability, draw stands at 26%, and Coventry at 28%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 52%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
12.3%
1:0
11.2%
2:1
9.1%
2:0
8.3%
0:1
8.3%
0:0
7.5%
1:2
6.8%
2:2
5%
0:2
4.6%
3:1
4.5%
3:0
4.1%
3:2
2.5%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Arsenal Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 46% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.17 |
| Market Odds | 2.31 |
Venue Form
Arsenal at Home
W3
D0
L1
(4 games)
Recent Form
Arsenal
W
W
W
L