1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ
xG Home
0.86
xG Away
1.71
Over 2.5 Goals
47%
BTTS
47%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Angers an expected 0.9 goals and Marseille an expected 1.7 goals. Angers have a 19% win probability, draw stands at 24%, and Marseille at 58%. The most likely exact scoreline is 0–1. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 53%.
Correct Score Predictions
0:1
13.1%
1:1
11.2%
0:2
11.2%
1:2
9.6%
0:0
7.6%
1:0
6.6%
0:3
6.4%
1:3
5.5%
2:1
4.8%
2:2
4.1%
2:0
2.8%
0:4
2.7%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Marseille Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 58% |
| Predicted Odds | 1.72 |
| Market Odds | 1.83 |
Team Comparison
| Angers | Marseille | |
|---|---|---|
| 13 | League Position | 5 |
| 36 | Points | 59 |
| 26% | Win % | 53% |
| 0.85 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.85 |
| 1.41 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.32 |
Venue Form
Angers at Home
W0
D3
L2
(5 games)
Marseille Away
W1
D0
L2
(3 games)
Recent Form
Angers
D
L
D
L
D
Marseille
W
L
L
