1
16%
Home Win
6.32
X
21%
Draw
4.78
2
63%
Away Win
1.58
xG Home
0.88
xG Away
1.99
Over 2.5 Goals
55%
BTTS
50%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Alverca an expected 0.9 goals and SC Braga an expected 2.0 goals. Alverca have a 16% win probability, draw stands at 21%, and SC Braga at 63%. The most likely exact scoreline is 0–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 55%.
Correct Score Predictions
0:1
11.3%
0:2
11.3%
1:1
9.9%
1:2
9.9%
0:3
7.5%
1:3
6.5%
0:0
5.7%
1:0
5%
2:1
4.4%
2:2
4.3%
0:4
3.7%
1:4
3.2%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | SC Braga Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 63% |
| Predicted Odds | 1.59 |
| Market Odds | 1.69 |
Team Comparison
| Alverca | SC Braga | |
|---|---|---|
| 11 | League Position | 4 |
| 39 | Points | 59 |
| 29% | Win % | 47% |
| 1.03 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.88 |
| 1.53 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.06 |
Venue Form
Alverca at Home
W1
D1
L0
(2 games)
SC Braga Away
W1
D1
L1
(3 games)
Recent Form
Alverca
D
W
SC Braga
D
L
W
