1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ
xG Home
1.18
xG Away
0.94
Over 2.5 Goals
36%
BTTS
42%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives AC Milan an expected 1.2 goals and Atalanta an expected 0.9 goals. AC Milan have a 41% win probability, draw stands at 30%, and Atalanta at 29%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–0. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 64%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:0
14.1%
1:1
13.3%
0:0
12%
0:1
11.3%
2:0
8.3%
2:1
7.8%
1:2
6.3%
0:2
5.3%
2:2
3.7%
3:0
3.3%
3:1
3.1%
1:3
2%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | AC Milan Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 41% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.44 |
| Market Odds | 2.59 |
Team Comparison
| AC Milan | Atalanta | |
|---|---|---|
| 5 | League Position | 7 |
| 70 | Points | 59 |
| 53% | Win % | 39% |
| 1.39 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.34 |
| 0.92 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.95 |
Venue Form
AC Milan at Home
W1
D1
L1
(3 games)
Atalanta Away
W1
D2
L3
(6 games)
Recent Form
AC Milan
W
L
D
Atalanta
L
L
D
W
L
Head to Head
AC Milan
2 : 3
Atalanta
L
Atalanta
1 : 1
AC Milan
D
AC Milan
0 : 1
Atalanta
L
