1
44%
Home Win
2.29
X
31%
Draw
3.26
2
26%
Away Win
3.9
xG Home
1.15
xG Away
0.81
Over 2.5 Goals
31%
BTTS
38%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Aberdeen an expected 1.1 goals and St. Mirren an expected 0.8 goals. Aberdeen have a 44% win probability, draw stands at 31%, and St. Mirren at 26%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–0. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 69%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:0
16.3%
0:0
14.2%
1:1
13.1%
0:1
11.4%
2:0
9.3%
2:1
7.5%
1:2
5.3%
0:2
4.6%
3:0
3.6%
2:2
3%
3:1
2.9%
1:3
1.4%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Aberdeen Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 44% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.27 |
| Market Odds | 2.42 |
Team Comparison
| Aberdeen | St. Mirren | |
|---|---|---|
| 8 | League Position | 10 |
| 33 | Points | 30 |
| 27% | Win % | 21% |
| 1 | Avg Goals Scored | 0.82 |
| 1.45 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.45 |
Venue Form
Aberdeen at Home
W3
D1
L1
(5 games)
St. Mirren Away
W1
D1
L2
(4 games)
Recent Form
Aberdeen
D
L
W
W
W
St. Mirren
L
D
W
L