1
48%
Home Win
2.1
X
25%
Draw
3.95
2
27%
Away Win
3.71
xG Home
1.55
xG Away
1.10
Over 2.5 Goals
50%
BTTS
53%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Aberdeen an expected 1.6 goals and Kilmarnock an expected 1.1 goals. Aberdeen have a 48% win probability, draw stands at 25%, and Kilmarnock at 27%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 50%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
12%
1:0
10.9%
2:1
9.3%
2:0
8.5%
0:1
7.7%
0:0
7%
1:2
6.6%
2:2
5.2%
3:1
4.8%
3:0
4.4%
0:2
4.3%
3:2
2.7%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Aberdeen Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 48% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.08 |
| Market Odds | 2.22 |
Team Comparison
| Aberdeen | Kilmarnock | |
|---|---|---|
| 8 | League Position | 11 |
| 33 | Points | 28 |
| 27% | Win % | 18% |
| 1 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.12 |
| 1.45 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.97 |
Venue Form
Aberdeen at Home
W3
D0
L1
(4 games)
Kilmarnock Away
W1
D0
L1
(2 games)
Recent Form
Aberdeen
L
W
W
W
Kilmarnock
W
L
