1
14%
Home Win
7.14
X
23%
Draw
4.34
2
63%
Away Win
1.59
xG Home
0.67
xG Away
1.73
Over 2.5 Goals
43%
BTTS
40%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Aberdeen an expected 0.7 goals and Heart of Midlothian an expected 1.7 goals. Aberdeen have a 14% win probability, draw stands at 23%, and Heart of Midlothian at 63%. The most likely exact scoreline is 0–1. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 57%.
Correct Score Predictions
0:1
15.7%
0:2
13.6%
1:1
10.5%
1:2
9.1%
0:0
9.1%
0:3
7.8%
1:0
6.1%
1:3
5.2%
2:1
3.5%
0:4
3.4%
2:2
3%
1:4
2.3%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Heart of Midlothian Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 63% |
| Predicted Odds | 1.59 |
| Market Odds | 1.69 |
Team Comparison
| Aberdeen | Heart of Midlothian | |
|---|---|---|
| 8 | League Position | 1 |
| 33 | Points | 70 |
| 27% | Win % | 64% |
| 1 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.76 |
| 1.45 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.85 |
Venue Form
Aberdeen at Home
W3
D0
L1
(4 games)
Heart of Midlothian Away
W1
D1
L0
(2 games)
Recent Form
Aberdeen
L
W
W
W
Heart of Midlothian
D
W
