1
36%
Home Win
2.8
X
26%
Draw
3.82
2
38%
Away Win
2.63
xG Home
1.29
xG Away
1.34
Over 2.5 Goals
49%
BTTS
54%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Aberdeen an expected 1.3 goals and Dundee Utd an expected 1.3 goals. Aberdeen have a 36% win probability, draw stands at 26%, and Dundee Utd at 38%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 51%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
12.5%
0:1
9.6%
1:0
9.3%
1:2
8.4%
2:1
8%
0:0
7.2%
0:2
6.5%
2:0
6%
2:2
5.4%
1:3
3.7%
3:1
3.5%
0:3
2.9%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Dundee Utd Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 38% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.63 |
| Market Odds | 2.8 |
Team Comparison
| Aberdeen | Dundee Utd | |
|---|---|---|
| 8 | League Position | 7 |
| 33 | Points | 40 |
| 27% | Win % | 27% |
| 1 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.36 |
| 1.45 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.64 |
Venue Form
Aberdeen at Home
W3
D1
L1
(5 games)
Dundee Utd Away
W0
D0
L2
(2 games)
Recent Form
Aberdeen
D
L
W
W
W
Dundee Utd
L
L