Zenit Saint Petersburg vs Akhmat Grozny Prediction

1 – 0
Most Likely Score
Sun, 18 Oct 2026 · Russian Premier League
Open Match Centre
Score · Lineups · Live stats

1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ

xG Home 1.95
xG Away 0.54
Over 2.5 Goals 45%
BTTS 36%

Our Prediction

Our Poisson distribution model gives Zenit Saint Petersburg an expected 2.0 goals and Akhmat Grozny an expected 0.5 goals. Zenit Saint Petersburg have a 71% win probability, draw stands at 20%, and Akhmat Grozny at 9%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–0. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 55%.

Correct Score Predictions

1:0 16.1%
2:0 15.8%
3:0 10.3%
1:1 8.7%
2:1 8.5%
0:0 8.3%
3:1 5.5%
4:0 5%
0:1 4.5%
4:1 2.7%
1:2 2.3%
2:2 2.3%

Detailed Analysis

Best Pick Zenit Saint Petersburg Win
Probability 71%
Predicted Odds 1.41
Market Odds 1.5

Team Comparison

Zenit Saint Petersburg Akhmat Grozny
1 League Position 9
68 Points 37
67% Win % 30%
1.77 Avg Goals Scored 1.17
0.63 Avg Goals Conceded 1.3

Venue Form

Zenit Saint Petersburg at Home
W0 D0 L1 (1 games)
0% win rate
Akhmat Grozny Away
W0 D1 L0 (1 games)
0% win rate

Recent Form

Zenit Saint Petersburg
L
Akhmat Grozny
D