1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ
xG Home
1.95
xG Away
0.54
Over 2.5 Goals
45%
BTTS
36%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Zenit Saint Petersburg an expected 2.0 goals and Akhmat Grozny an expected 0.5 goals. Zenit Saint Petersburg have a 71% win probability, draw stands at 20%, and Akhmat Grozny at 9%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–0. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 55%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:0
16.1%
2:0
15.8%
3:0
10.3%
1:1
8.7%
2:1
8.5%
0:0
8.3%
3:1
5.5%
4:0
5%
0:1
4.5%
4:1
2.7%
1:2
2.3%
2:2
2.3%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Zenit Saint Petersburg Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 71% |
| Predicted Odds | 1.41 |
| Market Odds | 1.5 |
Team Comparison
| Zenit Saint Petersburg | Akhmat Grozny | |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | League Position | 9 |
| 68 | Points | 37 |
| 67% | Win % | 30% |
| 1.77 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.17 |
| 0.63 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.3 |
Venue Form
Zenit Saint Petersburg at Home
W0
D0
L1
(1 games)
Akhmat Grozny Away
W0
D1
L0
(1 games)
Recent Form
Zenit Saint Petersburg
L
Akhmat Grozny
D