Rubin vs Krylya Sovetov Prediction

1 – 0
Most Likely Score
Sat, 24 Oct 2026 · Russian Premier League
Open Match Centre
Score · Lineups · Live stats

1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ

xG Home 1.37
xG Away 0.85
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
BTTS 43%

Our Prediction

Our Poisson distribution model gives Rubin an expected 1.4 goals and Krylya Sovetov an expected 0.9 goals. Rubin have a 49% win probability, draw stands at 28%, and Krylya Sovetov at 23%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–0. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 62%.

Correct Score Predictions

1:0 14.9%
1:1 12.6%
0:0 10.8%
2:0 10.2%
0:1 9.2%
2:1 8.7%
1:2 5.4%
3:0 4.7%
3:1 4%
0:2 3.9%
2:2 3.7%
3:2 1.7%

Detailed Analysis

Best Pick Rubin Win
Probability 49%
Predicted Odds 2.04
Market Odds 2.17

Team Comparison

Rubin Krylya Sovetov
8 League Position 11
43 Points 32
37% Win % 27%
0.97 Avg Goals Scored 1.17
1 Avg Goals Conceded 1.67

Venue Form

Rubin at Home
W0 D1 L0 (1 games)
0% win rate
Krylya Sovetov Away
W0 D1 L0 (1 games)
0% win rate

Recent Form

Rubin
D
Krylya Sovetov
D