1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ
xG Home
1.19
xG Away
0.71
Over 2.5 Goals
30%
BTTS
35%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Krasnodar an expected 1.2 goals and Baltika an expected 0.7 goals. Krasnodar have a 48% win probability, draw stands at 31%, and Baltika at 22%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–0. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 70%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:0
17.8%
0:0
15%
1:1
12.6%
2:0
10.6%
0:1
10.6%
2:1
7.5%
1:2
4.5%
3:0
4.2%
0:2
3.8%
3:1
3%
2:2
2.7%
4:0
1.3%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Krasnodar Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 48% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.08 |
| Market Odds | 2.22 |
Team Comparison
| Krasnodar | Baltika | |
|---|---|---|
| 2 | League Position | 6 |
| 66 | Points | 46 |
| 67% | Win % | 37% |
| 2 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.27 |
| 0.77 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.7 |
Venue Form
Krasnodar at Home
W1
D1
L0
(2 games)
Baltika Away
W0
D0
L1
(1 games)
Recent Form
Krasnodar
D
W
Baltika
L
