1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ
xG Home
1.62
xG Away
1.26
Over 2.5 Goals
55%
BTTS
57%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives CSKA Moscow an expected 1.6 goals and Spartak Moscow an expected 1.3 goals. CSKA Moscow have a 46% win probability, draw stands at 24%, and Spartak Moscow at 30%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 55%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
11.5%
2:1
9.3%
1:0
9.1%
2:0
7.4%
1:2
7.2%
0:1
7.1%
2:2
5.8%
0:0
5.6%
3:1
5%
0:2
4.4%
3:0
4%
3:2
3.2%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | CSKA Moscow Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 46% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.17 |
| Market Odds | 2.31 |
Team Comparison
| CSKA Moscow | Spartak Moscow | |
|---|---|---|
| 5 | League Position | 4 |
| 51 | Points | 52 |
| 50% | Win % | 50% |
| 1.47 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.57 |
| 1.1 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.3 |
Venue Form
CSKA Moscow at Home
W1
D0
L0
(1 games)
Spartak Moscow Away
W1
D0
L1
(2 games)
Recent Form
CSKA Moscow
W
Spartak Moscow
L
W
