1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ
xG Home
1.67
xG Away
2.10
Over 2.5 Goals
73%
BTTS
71%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Yunnan Yukun an expected 1.7 goals and SHANGHAI SIPG an expected 2.1 goals. Yunnan Yukun have a 31% win probability, draw stands at 21%, and SHANGHAI SIPG at 48%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–2. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 73%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:2
8.5%
1:1
8.1%
2:2
7.1%
2:1
6.8%
1:3
5.9%
0:2
5.1%
2:3
5%
0:1
4.8%
3:2
4%
1:0
3.8%
3:1
3.8%
0:3
3.5%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | SHANGHAI SIPG Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 45% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.22 |
| Market Odds | 2.36 |
Team Comparison
| Yunnan Yukun | SHANGHAI SIPG | |
|---|---|---|
| 6 | League Position | 5 |
| 40 | Points | 42 |
| 38% | Win % | 45% |
| 1.97 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.72 |
| 2.07 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.24 |
Venue Form
Yunnan Yukun at Home
W2
D2
L0
(4 games)
SHANGHAI SIPG Away
W2
D1
L1
(4 games)
Recent Form
Yunnan Yukun
D
W
D
W
SHANGHAI SIPG
W
D
L
W
Head to Head
SHANGHAI SIPG
2 : 1
Yunnan Yukun
L
SHANGHAI SIPG
4 : 2
Yunnan Yukun
L
Yunnan Yukun
2 : 3
SHANGHAI SIPG
W