Yunnan Yukun vs SHANGHAI SIPG Prediction

1 – 2
Most Likely Score
Fri, 17 Jul 2026 · Super League
Open Match Centre
Score · Lineups · Live stats

1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ

xG Home 1.67
xG Away 2.10
Over 2.5 Goals 73%
BTTS 71%

Our Prediction

Our Poisson distribution model gives Yunnan Yukun an expected 1.7 goals and SHANGHAI SIPG an expected 2.1 goals. Yunnan Yukun have a 31% win probability, draw stands at 21%, and SHANGHAI SIPG at 48%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–2. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 73%.

Correct Score Predictions

1:2 8.5%
1:1 8.1%
2:2 7.1%
2:1 6.8%
1:3 5.9%
0:2 5.1%
2:3 5%
0:1 4.8%
3:2 4%
1:0 3.8%
3:1 3.8%
0:3 3.5%

Detailed Analysis

Best Pick SHANGHAI SIPG Win
Probability 45%
Predicted Odds 2.22
Market Odds 2.36

Team Comparison

Yunnan Yukun SHANGHAI SIPG
6 League Position 5
40 Points 42
38% Win % 45%
1.97 Avg Goals Scored 1.72
2.07 Avg Goals Conceded 1.24

Venue Form

Yunnan Yukun at Home
W2 D2 L0 (4 games)
50% win rate
SHANGHAI SIPG Away
W2 D1 L1 (4 games)
50% win rate

Recent Form

Yunnan Yukun
D W D W
SHANGHAI SIPG
W D L W

Head to Head

04 Apr 2026 Super League
SHANGHAI SIPG 2 : 1 Yunnan Yukun
L
12 Sep 2025 Super League
SHANGHAI SIPG 4 : 2 Yunnan Yukun
L
25 Apr 2025 Super League
Yunnan Yukun 2 : 3 SHANGHAI SIPG
W