1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ
xG Home
1.57
xG Away
1.52
Over 2.5 Goals
60%
BTTS
62%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Qingdao Youth Island an expected 1.6 goals and Yunnan Yukun an expected 1.5 goals. Qingdao Youth Island have a 39% win probability, draw stands at 24%, and Yunnan Yukun at 37%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 60%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
10.9%
2:1
8.5%
1:2
8.2%
1:0
7.2%
0:1
6.9%
2:2
6.5%
2:0
5.6%
0:2
5.3%
0:0
4.6%
3:1
4.5%
1:3
4.2%
3:2
3.4%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Qingdao Youth Island Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 39% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.56 |
| Market Odds | 2.73 |
Team Comparison
| Qingdao Youth Island | Yunnan Yukun | |
|---|---|---|
| 7 | League Position | 6 |
| 39 | Points | 40 |
| 28% | Win % | 38% |
| 1.1 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.97 |
| 1.31 | Avg Goals Conceded | 2.07 |
Venue Form
Qingdao Youth Island at Home
W2
D3
L0
(5 games)
Yunnan Yukun Away
W0
D2
L1
(3 games)
Recent Form
Qingdao Youth Island
D
D
W
W
D
Yunnan Yukun
D
L
D
