1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ
xG Home
1.12
xG Away
1.68
Over 2.5 Goals
53%
BTTS
55%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Henan FC an expected 1.1 goals and Beijing Guoan an expected 1.7 goals. Henan FC have a 25% win probability, draw stands at 24%, and Beijing Guoan at 50%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 53%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
11.5%
0:1
10.3%
1:2
9.6%
0:2
8.6%
1:0
6.8%
2:1
6.4%
0:0
6.1%
1:3
5.4%
2:2
5.4%
0:3
4.8%
2:0
3.8%
2:3
3%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Beijing Guoan Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 50% |
| Predicted Odds | 2 |
| Market Odds | 2.13 |
Team Comparison
| Henan FC | Beijing Guoan | |
|---|---|---|
| 14 | League Position | 3 |
| 28 | Points | 47 |
| 28% | Win % | 48% |
| 1.31 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.97 |
| 1.45 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.24 |
Venue Form
Henan FC at Home
W2
D2
L3
(7 games)
Beijing Guoan Away
W2
D1
L0
(3 games)
Recent Form
Henan FC
L
D
D
W
L
Beijing Guoan
W
D
W
