1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ
xG Home
1.79
xG Away
1.13
Over 2.5 Goals
56%
BTTS
56%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Chengdu Rongcheng an expected 1.8 goals and Dalian Zhixing an expected 1.1 goals. Chengdu Rongcheng have a 53% win probability, draw stands at 23%, and Dalian Zhixing at 24%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 56%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
10.9%
2:1
9.8%
1:0
9.7%
2:0
8.7%
1:2
6.1%
0:1
6.1%
3:1
5.8%
2:2
5.5%
0:0
5.4%
3:0
5.2%
0:2
3.4%
3:2
3.3%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Chengdu Rongcheng Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 53% |
| Predicted Odds | 1.89 |
| Market Odds | 2.01 |
Team Comparison
| Chengdu Rongcheng | Dalian Zhixing | |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | League Position | 2 |
| 52 | Points | 49 |
| 52% | Win % | 52% |
| 1.76 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.59 |
| 1.21 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.48 |
Venue Form
Chengdu Rongcheng at Home
W1
D0
L1
(2 games)
Dalian Zhixing Away
W1
D1
L1
(3 games)
Recent Form
Chengdu Rongcheng
L
W
Dalian Zhixing
W
D
L