Chengdu Rongcheng vs Dalian Zhixing Prediction

1 – 1
Most Likely Score
Sat, 24 Oct 2026 · Super League
Open Match Centre
Score · Lineups · Live stats

1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ

xG Home 1.79
xG Away 1.13
Over 2.5 Goals 56%
BTTS 56%

Our Prediction

Our Poisson distribution model gives Chengdu Rongcheng an expected 1.8 goals and Dalian Zhixing an expected 1.1 goals. Chengdu Rongcheng have a 53% win probability, draw stands at 23%, and Dalian Zhixing at 24%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 56%.

Correct Score Predictions

1:1 10.9%
2:1 9.8%
1:0 9.7%
2:0 8.7%
1:2 6.1%
0:1 6.1%
3:1 5.8%
2:2 5.5%
0:0 5.4%
3:0 5.2%
0:2 3.4%
3:2 3.3%

Detailed Analysis

Best Pick Chengdu Rongcheng Win
Probability 53%
Predicted Odds 1.89
Market Odds 2.01

Team Comparison

Chengdu Rongcheng Dalian Zhixing
1 League Position 2
52 Points 49
52% Win % 52%
1.76 Avg Goals Scored 1.59
1.21 Avg Goals Conceded 1.48

Venue Form

Chengdu Rongcheng at Home
W1 D0 L1 (2 games)
50% win rate
Dalian Zhixing Away
W1 D1 L1 (3 games)
33% win rate

Recent Form

Chengdu Rongcheng
L W
Dalian Zhixing
W D L