1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ
xG Home
1.80
xG Away
2.42
Over 2.5 Goals
79%
BTTS
76%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Wuhan Three Towns an expected 1.8 goals and Shanghai Shenhua an expected 2.4 goals. Wuhan Three Towns have a 29% win probability, draw stands at 19%, and Shanghai Shenhua at 52%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–2. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 79%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:2
7.8%
2:2
7%
1:1
6.4%
1:3
6.3%
2:1
5.7%
2:3
5.6%
0:2
4.3%
3:2
4.2%
1:4
3.8%
0:1
3.6%
0:3
3.5%
3:1
3.4%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Shanghai Shenhua Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 52% |
| Predicted Odds | 1.92 |
| Market Odds | 2.05 |
Team Comparison
| Wuhan Three Towns | Shanghai Shenhua | |
|---|---|---|
| 15 | League Position | 8 |
| 22 | Points | 37 |
| 17% | Win % | 48% |
| 1.52 | Avg Goals Scored | 2.17 |
| 1.9 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.72 |
Venue Form
Wuhan Three Towns at Home
W1
D3
L1
(5 games)
Shanghai Shenhua Away
W2
D1
L1
(4 games)
Recent Form
Wuhan Three Towns
L
D
D
W
D
Shanghai Shenhua
L
W
W
D