1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ
xG Home
1.69
xG Away
2.19
Over 2.5 Goals
74%
BTTS
72%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Wuhan Three Towns an expected 1.7 goals and Shandong Taishan an expected 2.2 goals. Wuhan Three Towns have a 30% win probability, draw stands at 20%, and Shandong Taishan at 50%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–2. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 74%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:2
8.4%
1:1
7.6%
2:2
7.1%
2:1
6.4%
1:3
6.1%
2:3
5.2%
0:2
5%
0:1
4.5%
3:2
4%
0:3
3.6%
3:1
3.6%
1:0
3.5%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Shandong Taishan Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 50% |
| Predicted Odds | 2 |
| Market Odds | 2.13 |
Team Comparison
| Wuhan Three Towns | Shandong Taishan | |
|---|---|---|
| 15 | League Position | 4 |
| 22 | Points | 44 |
| 17% | Win % | 52% |
| 1.52 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.97 |
| 1.9 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.62 |
Venue Form
Wuhan Three Towns at Home
W1
D3
L1
(5 games)
Shandong Taishan Away
W2
D0
L3
(5 games)
Recent Form
Wuhan Three Towns
L
D
D
W
D
Shandong Taishan
W
L
L
W
L