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West Brom vs Southampton — Prediction

West Brom West Brom
1 – 1
Most likely score (model)
Tue, 03 Nov 2026 · Championship
Open Match Centre
Score · Lineups · Live stats
Southampton Southampton

Match information

Scheduled
Kickoff
3 Nov 2026, 20:00 UTC
Competition
Championship
Previous matches

All competitions; results strictly before this fixture. The recorded score may include extra time; shootout goals are not added.

West Brom
  • West Ham 1–3 West Brom
  • Preston 1–1 West Brom
  • Wolves 1–0 West Brom
  • West Brom 1–1 QPR
  • Derby 0–1 West Brom
Southampton
  • Southampton 4–1 QPR
  • West Ham 2–3 Southampton
  • Wrexham 2–1 Southampton
  • Southampton 4–1 Bristol City
  • Southampton 3–1 Swansea
Model & data

Table-based model estimate

Matches in saved table: West Brom 46 · Southampton 46. Data saved: 2026-11-02 00:00 UTC.

Table season: 2025

This Poisson estimate uses goals scored and conceded per game in the saved league table. Home advantage is 1.08; goal rates are limited to 0.3–5.0.

Model goal expectation is not measured shot-based xG. Injuries, confirmed lineups and live match state are not inputs to this calculation.

Assessment recorded before kickoff: Southampton 48% · 2026-11-02 05:00 UTC.

An estimate is not a guarantee of the result.

Lineups, events, odds and statistics depend on provider coverage. Missing data is not a zero value.

1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ

1 25%
Home Win 4
X 25%
Draw 4
2 50%
Away Win 2
Model goal expectation · 1 1.05
Model goal expectation · 2 1.60
Over 2.5 Goals 49%
BTTS 52%

Table-based model estimate

Model goal expectation: West Brom 1.05 · Southampton 1.60.
1 25% · X 25% · 2 50%.

Correct Score Predictions

1:1 11.9%
0:1 11.3%
1:2 9.5%
0:2 9%
1:0 7.4%
0:0 7.1%
2:1 6.3%
1:3 5.1%
2:2 5%
0:3 4.8%
2:0 3.9%
2:3 2.7%

About this assessment

Model outcome Southampton Win
Probability 50%
Predicted Odds 2

Team Comparison

West Brom Southampton
21 League Position 4
51 Points 80
28% Win % 48%
1.04 Avg Goals Scored 1.78
1.26 Avg Goals Conceded 1.22

Venue Form

West Brom at Home
W0 D1 L0 (1 games)
0% win rate
Southampton Away
W1 D0 L1 (2 games)
50% win rate

Recent Form

West Brom
W D L D W
Southampton
W W L W W

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