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Birmingham vs Millwall — Prediction

Birmingham Birmingham
1 – 1
Most likely score (model)
Tue, 03 Nov 2026 · Championship
Open Match Centre
Score · Lineups · Live stats
Millwall Millwall

Match information

Scheduled
Kickoff
3 Nov 2026, 20:00 UTC
Competition
Championship
Previous matches

All competitions; results strictly before this fixture. The recorded score may include extra time; shootout goals are not added.

Birmingham
  • Lincoln 1–3 Birmingham
  • Cardiff 1–0 Birmingham
  • Birmingham 2–2 Middlesbrough
  • Derby 1–2 Birmingham
  • Norwich City 2–1 Birmingham
Millwall
  • Millwall 4–1 Derby
  • Portsmouth FC 2–1 Millwall
  • Millwall 2–2 West Ham
  • Middlesbrough 2–2 Millwall
  • Blackburn 3–1 Millwall
Model & data

Table-based model estimate

Matches in saved table: Birmingham 46 · Millwall 46. Data saved: 2026-11-02 00:00 UTC.

Table season: 2025

This Poisson estimate uses goals scored and conceded per game in the saved league table. Home advantage is 1.08; goal rates are limited to 0.3–5.0.

Model goal expectation is not measured shot-based xG. Injuries, confirmed lineups and live match state are not inputs to this calculation.

Assessment recorded before kickoff: Birmingham 39% · 2026-11-02 05:00 UTC.

An estimate is not a guarantee of the result.

Lineups, events, odds and statistics depend on provider coverage. Missing data is not a zero value.

1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ

1 33%
Home Win 3.02
X 28%
Draw 3.53
2 39%
Away Win 2.59
Model goal expectation · 1 1.09
Model goal expectation · 2 1.20
Over 2.5 Goals 40%
BTTS 47%

Table-based model estimate

Model goal expectation: Birmingham 1.09 · Millwall 1.20.
1 33% · X 28% · 2 39%.

Correct Score Predictions

1:1 13.2%
0:1 12.1%
1:0 11%
0:0 10%
1:2 8%
0:2 7.3%
2:1 7.2%
2:0 6%
2:2 4.4%
1:3 3.2%
0:3 2.9%
3:1 2.6%

About this assessment

Model outcome Millwall Win
Probability 39%
Predicted Odds 2.56

Team Comparison

Birmingham Millwall
10 League Position 3
64 Points 83
37% Win % 52%
1.24 Avg Goals Scored 1.39
1.22 Avg Goals Conceded 1.07

Venue Form

Birmingham at Home
W0 D1 L0 (1 games)
0% win rate
Millwall Away
W0 D1 L2 (3 games)
0% win rate

Recent Form

Birmingham
W L D W L
Millwall
W L D D L

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