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Portsmouth FC vs Swansea — Prediction

Portsmouth FC Portsmouth FC
1 – 1
Most likely score (model)
Tue, 03 Nov 2026 · Championship
Open Match Centre
Score · Lineups · Live stats
Swansea Swansea

Match information

Scheduled
Kickoff
3 Nov 2026, 19:45 UTC
Competition
Championship
Previous matches

All competitions; results strictly before this fixture. The recorded score may include extra time; shootout goals are not added.

Portsmouth FC
  • Burnley 0–0 Portsmouth FC
  • Portsmouth FC 2–1 Millwall
  • Wolves 1–1 Portsmouth FC
  • Portsmouth FC 2–2 Blackburn
  • Charlton 0–0 Portsmouth FC
Swansea
  • Swansea 4–0 Blackburn
  • QPR 5–0 Swansea
  • Lincoln 1–2 Swansea
  • Swansea 3–1 Burnley
  • Southampton 3–1 Swansea
Model & data

Table-based model estimate

Matches in saved table: Portsmouth FC 46 · Swansea 46. Data saved: 2026-11-02 00:00 UTC.

Table season: 2025

This Poisson estimate uses goals scored and conceded per game in the saved league table. Home advantage is 1.08; goal rates are limited to 0.3–5.0.

Model goal expectation is not measured shot-based xG. Injuries, confirmed lineups and live match state are not inputs to this calculation.

Assessment recorded before kickoff: Portsmouth FC 37% · 2026-11-02 05:00 UTC.

An estimate is not a guarantee of the result.

Lineups, events, odds and statistics depend on provider coverage. Missing data is not a zero value.

1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ

1 34%
Home Win 2.96
X 28%
Draw 3.58
2 38%
Away Win 2.61
Model goal expectation · 1 1.13
Model goal expectation · 2 1.23
Over 2.5 Goals 42%
BTTS 48%

Table-based model estimate

Model goal expectation: Portsmouth FC 1.13 · Swansea 1.23.
1 34% · X 28% · 2 38%.

Correct Score Predictions

1:1 13.1%
0:1 11.6%
1:0 10.7%
0:0 9.5%
1:2 8%
2:1 7.4%
0:2 7.1%
2:0 6.1%
2:2 4.6%
1:3 3.3%
0:3 2.9%
3:1 2.8%

About this assessment

Model outcome Swansea Win
Probability 38%
Predicted Odds 2.63

Team Comparison

Portsmouth FC Swansea
18 League Position 11
55 Points 64
30% Win % 39%
1.07 Avg Goals Scored 1.24
1.39 Avg Goals Conceded 1.28

Venue Form

Portsmouth FC at Home
W1 D1 L0 (2 games)
50% win rate
Swansea Away
W1 D0 L2 (3 games)
33% win rate

Recent Form

Portsmouth FC
D W D D D
Swansea
W L W W L

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