1
12%
Home Win
8.41
X
19%
Draw
5.19
2
69%
Away Win
1.45
xG Home
0.73
xG Away
2.08
Over 2.5 Goals
53%
BTTS
45%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Werder Bremen an expected 0.7 goals and Borussia Dortmund an expected 2.1 goals. Werder Bremen have a 12% win probability, draw stands at 19%, and Borussia Dortmund at 69%. The most likely exact scoreline is 0–2. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 53%.
Correct Score Predictions
0:2
13.1%
0:1
12.6%
1:2
9.5%
1:1
9.1%
0:3
9.1%
1:3
6.6%
0:0
6%
0:4
4.7%
1:0
4.4%
2:2
3.4%
1:4
3.4%
2:1
3.3%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Borussia Dortmund Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 69% |
| Predicted Odds | 1.45 |
| Market Odds | 1.54 |
Team Comparison
| Werder Bremen | Borussia Dortmund | |
|---|---|---|
| 15 | League Position | 2 |
| 32 | Points | 73 |
| 24% | Win % | 65% |
| 1.09 | Avg Goals Scored | 2.06 |
| 1.76 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1 |
Venue Form
Werder Bremen at Home
W2
D0
L1
(3 games)
Borussia Dortmund Away
W2
D0
L2
(4 games)
Recent Form
Werder Bremen
W
L
W
Borussia Dortmund
W
L
L
W
Head to Head
Werder Bremen
0 : 0
Borussia Dortmund
D
Borussia Dortmund
3 : 0
Werder Bremen
L
Borussia Dortmund
2 : 2
Werder Bremen
D
