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VfB Stuttgart vs Werder Bremen — Prediction

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Most likely score (model)
Sat, 07 Nov 2026 · Bundesliga
Open Match Centre
Score · Lineups · Live stats

Match information

Scheduled
Kickoff
7 Nov 2026, 17:30 UTC
Competition
Bundesliga
Previous matches

All competitions; results strictly before this fixture. The recorded score may include extra time; shootout goals are not added.

VfB Stuttgart
  • Galatasaray 2–0 VfB Stuttgart
  • Bayer Leverkusen 2–4 VfB Stuttgart
  • SC Paderborn 07 0–1 VfB Stuttgart
  • VfB Stuttgart 2–3 Borussia Mönchengladbach
  • Hamburger SV 1–0 VfB Stuttgart
Werder Bremen
  • Werder Bremen 2–0 1899 Hoffenheim
  • FSV Mainz 05 2–3 Werder Bremen
  • Werder Bremen 2–2 SC Paderborn 07
  • Werder Bremen 3–2 FC Augsburg
  • FC Koln 1–1 Werder Bremen
Model & data

Table-based model estimate

Matches in saved table: VfB Stuttgart 8 · Werder Bremen 8. Data saved: 2026-11-03 21:50 UTC.

Table season: 2026

This Poisson estimate uses goals scored and conceded per game in the saved league table. Home advantage is 1.08; goal rates are limited to 0.3–5.0.

Model goal expectation is not measured shot-based xG. Injuries, confirmed lineups and live match state are not inputs to this calculation.

Assessment recorded before kickoff: VfB Stuttgart 40% · 2026-11-06 00:10 UTC.

An estimate is not a guarantee of the result.

Lineups, events, odds and statistics depend on provider coverage. Missing data is not a zero value.

1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ

Model goal expectation · 1 1.89
Model goal expectation · 2 2.11
Over 2.5 Goals 76%
BTTS 75%

Table-based model estimate

Model goal expectation: VfB Stuttgart 1.89 · Werder Bremen 2.11.
1 36% · X 21% · 2 44%.

Correct Score Predictions

1:2 7.7%
1:1 7.3%
2:2 7.3%
2:1 6.9%
1:3 5.4%
2:3 5.1%
3:2 4.6%
3:1 4.4%
0:2 4.1%
0:1 3.9%
1:0 3.5%
2:0 3.3%

About this assessment

Model outcome Werder Bremen Win
Probability 44%
Predicted Odds 2.27

Team Comparison

VfB Stuttgart Werder Bremen
11 League Position 5
9 Points 15
38% Win % 50%
1.75 Avg Goals Scored 2.13
1.88 Avg Goals Conceded 1.75

Venue Form

VfB Stuttgart at Home
W0 D0 L1 (1 games)
0% win rate
Werder Bremen Away
W1 D1 L0 (2 games)
50% win rate

Recent Form

VfB Stuttgart
L W W L L
Werder Bremen
W W D W D

Read the forecast alongside the match

A practical guide to the information shown here.

01

Read the selected market

A match-winner selection and a goal total answer different questions. Read the outcome before comparing percentages.

02

Check the recording time

A saved estimate belongs to its recording time. Check kickoff and the available match context separately.

03

Inspect comparable outcomes

Use a defined period, sample and market when comparing results. A probability is not a historical hit rate.

Inspect the prediction record →

Continue the match analysis

Useful next steps within VARiM.

Questions about this context

Answers to help interpret the available information.

Are these probabilities a guarantee?

No. A probability describes a model estimate for a particular selection and recording time; the actual match can finish differently.

Why might this page have no related saved forecasts?

Only relevant fixtures with a verified saved record are shown. The match and prediction catalogues may contain other available information.